(Bloomberg) — Democrats were level with Republicans in a congressional preference poll ahead of the US midterm elections, driven by an increase in President Joe Biden’s approval rating and political focus on abortion.
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The NBC News poll of registered voters showed the parties 46% each, suggesting potential momentum for Democrats after falling 2 percentage points in a similar survey in August. The differences in party following were within the margin of error in both polls.
Biden made up for it with core Democratic grassroots factions as his approval rating rose 45%, up 3 points from August and the highest since October, according to NBC. Former President Donald Trump’s favor fell to 34%, one of the lowest levels since he left office.
The GOP has always held major advantages among voters on economics, crime and border security, while the Democrats have a record advantage over abortion and a double-digit lead over health care. The poll found that 61% disapproved of the U.S. Supreme Court’s June decision to nullify the federal right to abortion in Roe v. Wade, compared to 37% who approved it.
“There’s a campaign about the economy, cost of living, crime and border security, and the Republicans are winning this campaign,” said GOP pollster Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies. “But there’s a second campaign on abortion, democracy and climate change, and the Democrats win that campaign.”
The Sept. 9-13 poll of 1,000 registered voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
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